UAB vs Rice 11/27/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UAB winning 60% of simulations, and Rice 40% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UAB commits fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. Rice wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bryan Ellis is averaging 251 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Sam McGuffie is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is RICE +3.5

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